Audeac · Strategy Dashboard

🌐 Macro View (set 2026-05-13 17:22 ET)

Regime

late_cycle

Bias

neutral

Bias multiplier

1.00x

Target hedge coverage

10%

Initial seed 2026-05-13. US growth holding (GDPNow ~3.7%, ISM mixed). Fed in pause posture. Equity at highs with cap-tilt to mega/big concentrated. Credit spreads tight. VIX low. No clear cyclical inflection — neutral bias, 1.0x sizing, light hedge floor. Architect to refresh weekly with formal memo.

Key risks:

Tariff/trade escalation — escalation: New 10%+ tariff on China tech imports
AI capex digestion — escalation: Hyperscaler capex guide-down or NVDA revenue miss
Fed reaction function shift — escalation: Hot CPI or wage data forces hike re-pricing
Geopolitical shock (Middle East / Taiwan) — escalation: Direct kinetic escalation involving major exporter

🛡 Risk Limits

Total capital

$40,000

Max single name

12% ($4,800)

Max sector

40%

Max gross at risk

80%

DD alert threshold

25%

Min hedge coverage

10%

Charter baseline: $40K / 10 bets / ~$4K avg single name. Sector cap 40% prevents tech overconcentration. 80% gross caps preserves cash buffer.

👀 Watchlist (20 names)

Ticker	Tag	Ref High (30d ATM call $)	Now	DD %	Target $	Quality tags	Thesis
NET	🟢	$nan	$nan	+nan%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
PLTR	🟢	$16.09	$7.53	-53.2%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=OK · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
BSX	🟢	$4.36	$2.31	-47.0%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
META	🟢	$40.15	$22.28	-44.5%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ISRG	🟢	$29.21	$16.59	-43.2%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
DHR	🟢	$10.00	$5.77	-42.3%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ZTS	🟢	$6.63	$3.92	-40.9%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
VRTX	🟢	$24.32	$14.71	-39.5%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ABT	🟢	$4.33	$2.83	-34.7%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
MSFT	🟢	$20.43	$13.61	-33.4%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
AMGN	🟢	$14.62	$9.81	-32.9%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
AMZN	🟢	$13.15	$9.03	-31.3%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
ORCL	🟢	$21.15	$14.59	-31.0%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
TMO	🟢	$24.56	$17.00	-30.8%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
JNJ	🟢	$8.44	$6.06	-28.2%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
XOM	🟢	$7.33	$5.31	-27.6%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
LLY	🟢	$53.60	$40.14	-25.1%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
KMI	🟢	$1.22	$0.92	-25.1%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet
SYK	🟢	$13.28	$9.95	-25.1%	$4,000	AI-risk=LOW · moat=STRONG · growth=STRONG	— no thesis yet
GOOG	🟡	$16.71	$14.73	-11.9%	$4,000	AI-risk=MED · moat=STRONG · growth=OK	— no thesis yet

Ref price = 252d max of 30d ATM synthetic call (Black-Scholes, σ=IV). Drawdown of -25% = entry trigger.

💼 Open Positions (60 trigger fires since 2026-05-13 · stock-level tracking)

Vehicle: 1–2y ITM LEAPS (held in actual brokerage, marked there — not on this dashboard). Dashboard shows underlying stock spot P&L only as a thesis-health gauge. Entry trigger: vol-aware 25% drop on synthetic 1y option price. Exit trigger: 5 quality gates 破坏 (quarterly review). 不预测.

Entry	Ticker	S	Spot E	Spot N	Spot P&L	IV	DD%	Step	Days	Status
2026-06-16	BAX	💊	$19.35	$20.86	+7.80%	43%	-51%	2	0d	Active
2026-06-16	EW	💊	$86.47	$85.11	-1.57%	30%	-25%	1	0d	Active
2026-06-16	PODD	💊	$144.94	$149.70	+3.28%	49%	-58%	2	0d	Active
2026-06-16	CAH	💊	$195.15	$223.85	+14.71%	28%	-37%	1	0d	Active
2026-06-16	HCA	💊	$378.54	$387.18	+2.28%	30%	-38%	1	0d	Active
2026-06-16	IDXX	💊	$563.53	$560.88	-0.47%	32%	-45%	1	0d	Active
2026-06-16	DXCM	💊	$73.74	$75.37	+2.21%	40%	-41%	1	0d	Active
2026-06-16	MRNA	💊	$47.19	$49.91	+5.76%	72%	-29%	1	0d	Active
2026-06-05	MDT	💊	$81.93	$80.20	-2.11%	26%	-26%	1	11d	Active
2026-06-05	CIEN	🤖	$535.63	$445.98	-16.74%	83%	-34%	1	11d	Active
2026-06-05	HPE	🤖	$53.69	$48.17	-10.28%	69%	-34%	1	11d	Active
2026-06-05	NFLX	🤖	$81.56	$80.34	-1.50%	31%	-51%	2	11d	Active
2026-06-05	PANW	🤖	$279.25	$279.62	+0.13%	50%	-37%	1	11d	Active
2026-06-05	CRWD	🤖	$719.09	$682.80	-5.05%	53%	-33%	1	11d	Active
2026-06-05	AVGO	🤖	$418.91	$382.07	-8.79%	48%	-32%	1	11d	Active
2026-05-30	EOG	⛽	$133.38	$136.65	+2.45%	31%	-25%	1	17d	Active
2026-05-30	INTC	🤖	$114.68	$124.57	+8.62%	79%	-26%	1	17d	Active
2026-05-29	BSX	💊	$49.11	$46.91	-4.48%	36%	-52%	2	18d	Active
2026-05-29	CEG	🤖	$286.31	$253.76	-11.37%	47%	-50%	2	18d	Active
2026-05-29	VST	🤖	$160.28	$148.02	-7.65%	49%	-43%	1	18d	Active
2026-05-29	SMCI	🤖	$41.30	$30.46	-26.25%	78%	-32%	1	18d	Active
2026-05-29	NFLX	🤖	$86.36	$80.34	-6.97%	30%	-50%	1	18d	Active
2026-05-29	SHOP	🤖	$115.03	$108.32	-5.83%	50%	-52%	2	18d	Active
2026-05-29	ZS	🤖	$130.04	$129.52	-0.40%	59%	-58%	2	18d	Active
2026-05-29	ANET	🤖	$155.27	$163.24	+5.13%	50%	-34%	1	18d	Active
2026-05-29	SNPS	🤖	$480.64	$453.89	-5.57%	46%	-27%	1	18d	Active
2026-05-29	CRM	🤖	$176.17	$165.89	-5.84%	43%	-33%	1	18d	Active
2026-05-23	NEE	⛽	$88.55	$85.99	-2.89%	24%	-26%	1	24d	Active
2026-05-22	NVDA	🤖	$219.51	$205.19	-6.52%	38%	-25%	1	25d	Active
2026-05-19	PFE	💊	$25.33	$26.21	+3.47%	22%	-26%	1	28d	Active
2026-05-14	BMY	💊	$56.39	$57.13	+1.31%	27%	-26%	1	33d	Active
2026-05-14	CVX	⛽	$186.00	$187.22	+0.66%	27%	-25%	1	33d	Active
2026-05-13	LLY	💊	$989.87	$1133.00	+14.46%	34%	-25%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	META	🤖	$603.00	$566.98	-5.97%	31%	-44%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	KMI	⛽	$32.45	$31.94	-1.57%	23%	-25%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	MSFT	🤖	$407.77	$390.74	-4.18%	28%	-33%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	JNJ	💊	$224.26	$240.87	+7.41%	22%	-28%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	ISRG	💊	$431.87	$411.06	-4.82%	32%	-43%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	GILD	💊	$134.94	$125.59	-6.93%	27%	-30%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	NOW	🤖	$89.00	$102.15	+14.78%	55%	-48%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	ELV	💊	$393.30	$404.07	+2.74%	29%	-32%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	ORCL	🤖	$186.83	$184.13	-1.45%	67%	-31%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	OXY	⛽	$56.27	$56.54	+0.48%	36%	-29%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	DHR	💊	$166.26	$180.10	+8.32%	29%	-42%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	COP	⛽	$117.87	$116.98	-0.76%	32%	-26%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	PLTR	🤖	$136.00	$127.99	-5.89%	47%	-53%	2	34d	Active
2026-05-13	CI	💊	$298.49	$298.00	-0.16%	28%	-25%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	REGN	💊	$723.41	$612.14	-15.38%	37%	-28%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	BSX	💊	$54.10	$46.91	-13.29%	36%	-47%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	AMZN	🤖	$265.82	$238.55	-10.26%	28%	-31%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	AMGN	💊	$336.29	$355.20	+5.62%	24%	-33%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	SYK	💊	$294.45	$312.20	+6.03%	28%	-25%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	TMO	💊	$459.30	$469.34	+2.19%	31%	-31%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	TSLA	🤖	$433.45	$406.43	-6.23%	47%	-29%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	UNH	💊	$396.39	$408.52	+3.06%	30%	-25%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	VRTX	💊	$448.29	$444.93	-0.75%	27%	-40%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	ADBE	🤖	$240.83	$204.02	-15.28%	49%	-39%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	XOM	⛽	$150.63	$147.01	-2.40%	29%	-28%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	ABT	💊	$84.35	$88.18	+4.54%	28%	-35%	1	34d	Active
2026-05-13	ZTS	💊	$76.94	$79.57	+3.42%	43%	-41%	1	34d	Active
📊 Aggregate (60 positions, equal-weight)					-1.58%	Spot win 25/60 (42%) · by sector: ai_tech -5.57% (25) · energy -0.58% (7) · healthcare +1.74% (28)

🔔 Recent trigger fires (last 30d, top 30)

When (ET)	Ticker	Sector	Spot	IV	DD%	Step
06-05 07:27	MDT	healthcare	$81.93	26.0%	-26.5%	#1
06-05 07:25	CIEN	ai_tech	$535.63	83.3%	-34.5%	#1
06-05 07:25	HPE	ai_tech	$53.69	69.3%	-33.7%	#1
06-05 07:25	NFLX	ai_tech	$81.56	31.3%	-50.9%	#2
06-05 07:25	PANW	ai_tech	$279.25	50.0%	-37.2%	#1
06-05 07:24	CRWD	ai_tech	$719.09	52.7%	-33.3%	#1
06-05 07:24	AVGO	ai_tech	$418.91	48.1%	-32.5%	#1
05-30 09:01	EOG	energy	$133.38	31.0%	-25.1%	#1
05-30 08:59	INTC	ai_tech	$114.68	79.1%	-26.1%	#1
05-29 07:22	BSX	healthcare	$49.11	35.6%	-52.2%	#2
05-29 07:20	CEG	ai_tech	$286.31	46.8%	-50.5%	#2
05-29 07:20	VST	ai_tech	$160.28	49.2%	-43.2%	#1
05-29 07:20	SMCI	ai_tech	$41.30	78.5%	-32.5%	#1
05-29 07:19	NFLX	ai_tech	$86.36	30.1%	-49.9%	#1
05-29 07:19	SHOP	ai_tech	$115.03	49.8%	-52.5%	#2
05-29 07:19	ZS	ai_tech	$130.04	58.8%	-58.3%	#2
05-29 07:19	ANET	ai_tech	$155.27	50.4%	-34.1%	#1
05-29 07:19	SNPS	ai_tech	$480.64	46.3%	-27.4%	#1
05-29 07:18	CRM	ai_tech	$176.17	43.4%	-33.2%	#1
05-23 07:56	NEE	energy	$88.55	24.3%	-26.4%	#1
05-22 06:11	NVDA	ai_tech	$219.51	38.2%	-25.2%	#1
05-19 07:34	PFE	healthcare	$25.33	21.9%	-25.7%	#1
05-14 06:41	BMY	healthcare	$56.39	26.7%	-25.7%	#1
05-14 06:39	CVX	energy	$186.00	26.6%	-25.3%	#1
05-13 12:25	PLTR	ai_tech	$136.00	46.9%	-53.2%	#2
05-13 12:25	NOW	ai_tech	$89.00	54.9%	-48.2%	#1
05-13 12:25	BSX	healthcare	$54.10	35.8%	-47.0%	#1
05-13 12:25	META	ai_tech	$603.00	30.7%	-44.5%	#1
05-13 12:25	ISRG	healthcare	$431.87	32.0%	-43.2%	#1
05-13 12:25	DHR	healthcare	$166.26	28.8%	-42.3%	#1

📜 Thesis library

No theses yet. Each candidate must pass all 5 gates before active.